Joinville vs Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
CAX
1 - 0
JEC
56%
25%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
TUB
0 - 1
JEC
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
JEC
2 - 1
SAO
28%
28%
44%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
SAO
2 - 1
JEC
59%
24%
17%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
JEC
6 - 1
TUB
56%
24%
20%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
PEL
1 - 2
SLU
44%
27%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
SAO
0 - 9
PEL
61%
24%
15%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
PEL
1 - 1
TUB
56%
24%
20%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
TUB
0 - 0
PEL
38%
26%
35%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
PEL
3 - 1
SAO
23%
28%
49%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |