Joinville vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
JEC
2 - 1
ICA
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
PAR
2 - 3
JEC
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
JEC
2 - 2
NOV
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
JEC
3 - 0
POR
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
FFL
2 - 1
JEC
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2014 |
ARN
3 - 0
NAU
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
CEA
2 - 2
NAU
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
NAU
2 - 0
VIL
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
NAU
0 - 1
SPO
30%
25%
45%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 2
NAU
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |