Joinville vs Mogi Mirim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
15.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 1
JEC
37%
29%
34%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
JEC
2 - 4
MAC
64%
23%
13%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
SAO
2 - 0
JEC
34%
31%
35%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
JEC
2 - 0
TOM
51%
28%
21%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
JEC
1 - 0
BOT
41%
31%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
MOG
3 - 0
MAC
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
VOL
4 - 0
MOG
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
TUP
1 - 0
MOG
61%
22%
16%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
MOG
0 - 3
YPI
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 0
MOG
57%
23%
19%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |