Joinville vs Metropolitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
AVA
3 - 0
JEC
73%
18%
8%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
JEC
1 - 0
BRU
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
TUB
3 - 2
JEC
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
JEC
2 - 1
CRI
20%
22%
58%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
JEC
41%
27%
33%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 1
MET
80%
15%
5%
|
43 | 75 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
MET
0 - 3
AVA
8%
16%
76%
|
43 | 72 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
BRU
6 - 1
MET
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
MET
2 - 1
TUB
34%
26%
41%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
CRI
2 - 0
MET
72%
18%
10%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | -1 |