Joinville vs Metropolitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
12.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
JEC
0 - 0
CHA
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MET
1 - 0
JEC
23%
25%
52%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
JEC
1 - 0
FFL
39%
26%
36%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
JEC
1 - 1
GUA
80%
14%
6%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
CRI
3 - 1
JEC
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
FFL
2 - 1
MET
76%
16%
8%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MET
1 - 0
JEC
23%
25%
52%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
HER
1 - 3
MET
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MET
1 - 1
CHA
20%
24%
56%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
AVA
1 - 2
MET
65%
21%
14%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |