Joinville vs Metropolitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
FFL
2 - 2
JEC
70%
18%
12%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
JEC
1 - 2
CHA
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 0
JEC
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
JEC
3 - 1
CRB
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
IFC
1 - 0
JEC
36%
26%
38%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
MET
1 - 0
GUA
62%
20%
18%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 3
MET
36%
25%
40%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
MET
1 - 2
MOG
36%
26%
37%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MOG
0 - 1
MET
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 0
MET
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |