Joinville vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
23%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CAM
0 - 0
JEC
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 2
JEC
33%
28%
39%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
JEC
1 - 3
BRU
14%
21%
64%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ECP
2 - 2
JEC
24%
25%
51%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
JEC
1 - 1
JUV
54%
25%
21%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 2
HER
35%
28%
38%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 3
AIM
33%
29%
38%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 0
MAR
57%
25%
18%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 1
AFC
38%
28%
34%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
ECP
67%
21%
13%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |