Joinville vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.5%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
34.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
SLU
2 - 1
JEC
47%
27%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
JEC
0 - 0
PEL
47%
26%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
CAX
1 - 0
JEC
56%
25%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
TUB
0 - 1
JEC
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
JEC
2 - 1
SAO
28%
28%
44%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
MAR
3 - 0
SAO
41%
28%
31%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 0
MAR
62%
24%
14%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
3 - 0
TUB
64%
22%
14%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CAX
2 - 2
MAR
51%
27%
22%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 1
SLU
48%
28%
25%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |