Joinville vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2011 |
FFL
4 - 0
JEC
79%
14%
7%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
JEC
2 - 1
BRU
53%
23%
25%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
JEC
1 - 1
AFC
74%
17%
10%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
AFC
2 - 1
JEC
24%
27%
49%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
OPE
0 - 1
JEC
40%
27%
32%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 2
MET
35%
25%
41%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
IMB
1 - 1
MAR
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
MET
1 - 1
MAR
57%
24%
19%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 1
PEL
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 0
IRA
31%
27%
42%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |