Joinville vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
16%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
13.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
SAO
2 - 0
JEC
34%
31%
35%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
JEC
2 - 0
TOM
51%
28%
21%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
JEC
1 - 0
BOT
41%
31%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
TUP
3 - 1
JEC
36%
29%
34%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
VOL
0 - 0
JEC
31%
29%
40%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
MAC
3 - 2
BOT
25%
30%
46%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
TUP
1 - 0
MAC
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
MAC
0 - 2
YPI
30%
27%
43%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
MAC
0 - 0
SAO
27%
28%
45%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 1
MAC
66%
21%
13%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |