Joinville vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
45.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
TUP
2 - 0
JEC
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
JEC
0 - 2
BOT
27%
30%
43%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
CUI
5 - 0
JEC
63%
23%
14%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
JEC
1 - 3
OPE
39%
29%
32%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
BRA
2 - 0
JEC
57%
25%
18%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
LUV
3 - 1
BRA
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
LUV
3 - 0
TUP
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
VOL
2 - 0
LUV
27%
28%
45%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -2 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
LUV
2 - 2
YPI
69%
20%
12%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
TOM
1 - 1
LUV
33%
29%
38%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |