Joinville vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
9.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
BOA
1 - 0
JEC
26%
28%
46%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
JEC
3 - 1
PPE
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
SAM
1 - 2
JEC
32%
28%
41%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
JEC
1 - 0
BRA
61%
23%
17%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
AVA
0 - 3
JEC
40%
28%
33%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
LUV
1 - 2
AMF
31%
27%
42%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
NAU
1 - 0
LUV
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
POR
1 - 0
LUV
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
LUV
3 - 1
AVA
31%
26%
43%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
LUV
1 - 0
OES
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |