Joinville vs CFZ Imbituba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CRI
1 - 1
JEC
62%
21%
18%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
JEC
4 - 0
AVA
19%
22%
59%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 0
JEC
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
JEC
2 - 2
69%
19%
13%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 3
JEC
37%
25%
38%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CFZ Imbituba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
IMB
0 - 0
MET
35%
24%
40%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
IMB
1 - 2
BRU
28%
23%
50%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
CRI
2 - 2
IMB
81%
13%
7%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
IMB
0 - 4
AVA
12%
18%
71%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 2
IMB
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +1 |