Joinville vs Hermann Aichinger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
16.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
FFL
3 - 0
JEC
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
JUV
0 - 1
JEC
17%
22%
60%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
AVA
0 - 2
JEC
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
JEC
0 - 0
CHA
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
MET
2 - 1
JEC
23%
24%
53%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Hermann Aichinger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
CHA
3 - 2
HER
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
HER
1 - 1
FFL
24%
25%
52%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
HER
2 - 0
MAR
63%
22%
16%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
JUV
5 - 1
HER
25%
24%
51%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -2 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
HER
2 - 1
AVA
29%
25%
46%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |