Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 3-2
Joinville vs Gurupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
11.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
BRU
0 - 0
JEC
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
JEC
1 - 0
REC
63%
23%
14%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
JEC
0 - 1
CHA
15%
24%
61%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
INT
4 - 1
JEC
21%
22%
57%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
TUB
2 - 0
JEC
20%
25%
55%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Gurupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
GUR
2 - 0
RIO
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
GUR
2 - 1
LON
13%
22%
65%
|
34 | 65 | 31 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
TOC
2 - 3
GUR
50%
24%
26%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
GUR
0 - 0
TOC
48%
24%
29%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
INT
0 - 0
GUR
50%
24%
26%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |