Joinville vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
JEC
1 - 2
AVA
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
ARN
1 - 1
JEC
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
ASA
0 - 1
JEC
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
JEC
2 - 1
ATL
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 2
JEC
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 0
ARN
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
SPO
1 - 0
GUA
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
BRA
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
AVA
27%
26%
47%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
AMF
1 - 0
GUA
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |