Joinville vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
64.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
HER
0 - 0
JEC
29%
26%
45%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
JEC
1 - 2
CHA
16%
23%
61%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
MET
0 - 0
JEC
28%
25%
47%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
JEC
1 - 1
AVA
12%
19%
69%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
BRU
1 - 1
JEC
30%
26%
44%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
FFL
1 - 1
MET
79%
15%
6%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
FFL
1 - 0
AVA
36%
26%
39%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
BRU
1 - 2
FFL
10%
18%
73%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
FFL
2 - 0
TUB
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2019 |
CRI
0 - 1
FFL
38%
25%
38%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |