Catarinense 1 Final
Global 0-0
Joinville vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
FFL
0 - 0
JEC
57%
24%
20%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
MET
0 - 0
JEC
21%
25%
54%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
JEC
1 - 0
ITU
62%
23%
15%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
JEC
3 - 1
FFL
38%
27%
36%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 2
JEC
56%
25%
20%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
FFL
0 - 0
JEC
57%
24%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
FFL
2 - 0
INT
77%
16%
8%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
JEC
3 - 1
FFL
38%
27%
36%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
FFL
1 - 0
MET
78%
15%
6%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
CRI
0 - 1
FFL
29%
26%
45%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |