Joinville vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 2
JEC
56%
25%
20%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
JEC
2 - 1
INT
69%
19%
13%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
ITU
3 - 0
JEC
27%
27%
47%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
JEC
1 - 0
CRI
54%
24%
21%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
CRI
0 - 2
JEC
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
FFL
1 - 0
MET
78%
15%
6%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
CRI
0 - 1
FFL
29%
26%
45%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
FFL
2 - 1
PRI
82%
13%
5%
|
76 | 44 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 1
FFL
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
FFL
2 - 1
CHA
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |