Joinville vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.9%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
13.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
47.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.1%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
GRE
1 - 0
JEC
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
JEC
1 - 0
ECA
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
ECA
2 - 1
JEC
44%
27%
30%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
JEC
0 - 0
GRE
59%
23%
19%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
FER
1 - 0
JEC
68%
21%
11%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
FER
1 - 0
ECA
69%
21%
10%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
FER
0 - 1
GRE
70%
20%
10%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
GRE
0 - 2
FER
24%
29%
47%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
ECA
1 - 0
FER
20%
29%
51%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
FER
1 - 0
JEC
68%
21%
11%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |