Joinville vs EC São José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
ECS
1 - 1
JEC
43%
27%
29%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
OPE
1 - 0
JEC
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
JEC
2 - 1
OES
51%
26%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
AVA
2 - 0
JEC
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
JEC
1 - 3
AVA
24%
24%
52%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
ECS
1 - 1
JEC
43%
27%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
OES
1 - 0
ECS
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
ECS
1 - 0
OPE
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
ECS
1 - 1
PEL
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
ECS
0 - 0
ISM
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |