Joinville vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
11.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
58.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
18%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.8%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
FFL
0 - 2
JEC
60%
24%
17%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
GUR
1 - 0
JEC
15%
24%
61%
|
60 | 36 | 24 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
JEC
2 - 0
LIT
63%
23%
14%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
JEC
3 - 1
GUR
67%
22%
11%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
BRU
0 - 0
JEC
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CRZ
1 - 1
TOM
82%
13%
5%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
CRZ
3 - 0
MUR
89%
9%
2%
|
84 | 43 | 41 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
AMF
0 - 1
CRZ
24%
27%
48%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 2
CRZ
6%
17%
77%
|
84 | 43 | 41 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
AME
0 - 1
CRZ
6%
17%
77%
|
84 | 41 | 43 | 0 |