Joinville vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
52.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CHA
3 - 0
JEC
71%
19%
9%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
JEC
1 - 1
MAR
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
AVA
2 - 1
JEC
67%
21%
12%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
JUV
2 - 3
JEC
30%
26%
44%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
JEC
2 - 1
CAC
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CRI
0 - 0
FFL
33%
27%
41%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CRI
1 - 3
BRU
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 1
CRI
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
AVA
0 - 1
CRI
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
SAN
4 - 1
CRI
25%
26%
49%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -2 |