Joinville vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
43.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2017 |
JEC
0 - 0
CRZ
16%
26%
58%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
FFL
0 - 2
JEC
60%
24%
17%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
GUR
1 - 0
JEC
15%
24%
61%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
JEC
2 - 0
LIT
63%
23%
14%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
JEC
3 - 1
GUR
67%
22%
11%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CRI
4 - 4
BRU
60%
22%
19%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
FLU
3 - 2
CRI
73%
17%
10%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
AVA
2 - 3
CRI
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
CRI
1 - 1
FLU
23%
25%
52%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 0
CRI
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |