Joinville vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
28.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
FFL
1 - 2
JEC
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
JEC
2 - 1
GUA
68%
21%
11%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
BRU
1 - 0
JEC
20%
26%
54%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
JEC
0 - 0
CHA
27%
27%
46%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
INT
2 - 2
JEC
21%
23%
56%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CRI
1 - 0
BRU
58%
24%
19%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
FLU
2 - 0
CRI
71%
19%
11%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
AVA
0 - 2
CRI
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 0
CRI
62%
23%
15%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CRI
3 - 0
MET
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |