Joinville vs Concórdia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
FFL
0 - 0
JEC
68%
20%
12%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
JEC
2 - 1
UBE
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
UBE
1 - 0
JEC
46%
27%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
JEC
1 - 1
BAN
54%
26%
20%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BAN
1 - 1
JEC
29%
29%
42%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
CAC
0 - 0
BRU
12%
20%
67%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
JUV
2 - 1
CAC
41%
23%
36%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CAC
0 - 0
CRI
27%
24%
49%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
AVA
0 - 0
CAC
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
HER
0 - 0
CAC
31%
23%
45%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |