Joinville vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
62.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CRI
1 - 1
JEC
74%
19%
8%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
CAC
0 - 4
JEC
13%
20%
68%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
JEC
0 - 0
BAR
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
JEC
0 - 1
BRU
20%
24%
56%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
FFL
1 - 1
JEC
77%
16%
7%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 0
MAR
80%
15%
5%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 1
CAM
74%
18%
9%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CAC
2 - 2
CHA
15%
24%
61%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
FFL
0 - 1
CHA
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 1
CRI
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |