Joinville vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
38.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
MET
5 - 4
JEC
25%
25%
50%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
HER
1 - 0
JEC
35%
26%
39%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
JEC
2 - 2
FFL
25%
24%
51%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
JEC
22%
23%
54%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
JEC
0 - 1
CAM
76%
15%
9%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 1
FFL
29%
25%
46%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 2
CHA
17%
22%
61%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 1
CAM
76%
16%
9%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
BRU
0 - 1
CHA
20%
23%
56%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 0
AVA
35%
25%
40%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |