Joinville vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
33.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
3 - 6
JEC
30%
25%
46%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
JEC
0 - 2
MAR
65%
20%
16%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2011 |
FFL
4 - 0
JEC
79%
14%
7%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
JEC
2 - 1
BRU
53%
23%
25%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
JEC
1 - 1
AFC
74%
17%
10%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 0
MET
56%
22%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
IMB
2 - 2
CHA
23%
23%
54%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
CHA
3 - 2
CRI
43%
25%
31%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
AVA
1 - 2
CHA
78%
15%
7%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
BOA
0 - 0
CHA
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |