Joinville vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
39%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 1
JEC
32%
28%
40%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 1
JEC
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
MET
2 - 2
JEC
35%
25%
40%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
JEC
5 - 0
IMB
68%
19%
14%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CRI
1 - 1
JEC
62%
21%
18%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
CHA
3 - 0
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
CAX
2 - 2
CHA
50%
26%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 0
CRI
44%
25%
31%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
CRI
1 - 0
CHA
49%
24%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 2
AVA
26%
24%
50%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |