Joinville vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
33.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 1
JEC
18%
26%
56%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
JEC
1 - 1
SAN
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ARN
1 - 0
JEC
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
VAS
2 - 0
JEC
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
JEC
1 - 1
AMF
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
CEA
1 - 0
BRA
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
CEA
1 - 1
SAM
75%
17%
9%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 5
CEA
13%
23%
64%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
PPE
3 - 1
CEA
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
CEA
2 - 0
ARN
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |