Joinville vs CA Tubarão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
JEC
1 - 1
CAX
30%
30%
41%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
PEL
1 - 0
JEC
35%
27%
39%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
JEC
2 - 0
SLU
34%
27%
38%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
MAR
0 - 0
JEC
54%
25%
22%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
JEC
1 - 1
NOV
22%
27%
51%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
CA Tubarão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
TUB
0 - 1
MAR
34%
27%
39%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
TUB
3 - 0
SAO
22%
27%
51%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 0
TUB
72%
18%
9%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CAX
2 - 1
TUB
68%
21%
11%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
TUB
0 - 1
SLU
33%
26%
42%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |