Joinville vs CA Tubarão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
JEC
1 - 0
FER
23%
30%
48%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
GRE
1 - 0
JEC
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
JEC
1 - 0
ECA
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
ECA
2 - 1
JEC
44%
27%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
JEC
0 - 0
GRE
59%
23%
19%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CA Tubarão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
TUB
1 - 2
CIA
48%
26%
25%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
CAX
2 - 0
TUB
58%
24%
18%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
TUB
3 - 2
SAO
36%
29%
35%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
SAO
4 - 1
TUB
57%
25%
18%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
TUB
2 - 2
CAX
37%
28%
35%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |