Joinville vs Brusque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
JEC
8 - 1
MOG
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 1
JEC
37%
29%
34%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
JEC
2 - 4
MAC
64%
23%
13%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
SAO
2 - 0
JEC
34%
31%
35%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
JEC
2 - 0
TOM
51%
28%
21%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
ECS
1 - 0
BRU
34%
27%
39%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
BRU
2 - 1
ECS
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
BRU
1 - 0
OPE
46%
27%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
XVD
1 - 0
BRU
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 1
BRU
22%
25%
52%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | -1 |