Joinville vs Brusque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
18%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
JEC
14%
23%
63%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 3
JEC
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
JEC
3 - 0
INT
65%
21%
15%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
JEC
1 - 0
CAM
70%
21%
9%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
AVA
0 - 1
JEC
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
BRU
1 - 1
INT
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
4 - 2
BRU
29%
25%
46%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
BRU
1 - 0
AVA
24%
25%
51%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
CHA
3 - 3
BRU
72%
18%
9%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CAM
3 - 2
BRU
31%
25%
44%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |