Joinville vs Brusque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
7.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
AVA
1 - 0
JEC
58%
22%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
JEC
3 - 0
CRI
46%
24%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
CHA
4 - 1
JEC
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
JEC
2 - 1
MET
68%
18%
13%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
JEC
2 - 1
HER
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
BRU
1 - 2
FFL
10%
18%
72%
|
44 | 77 | 33 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 2
BRU
45%
24%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
BRU
1 - 2
CAM
38%
25%
36%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
HER
3 - 1
BRU
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
AVA
2 - 0
BRU
78%
15%
7%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | 0 |