Joinville vs Brusque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
24.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
JEC
1 - 1
AFC
74%
17%
10%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
AFC
2 - 1
JEC
24%
27%
49%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
OPE
0 - 1
JEC
40%
27%
32%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
JEC
0 - 0
OPE
61%
23%
17%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
JEC
2 - 0
IRA
63%
22%
16%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
AVA
4 - 3
BRU
79%
14%
6%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
BRU
3 - 0
IMB
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
MET
0 - 2
BRU
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2010 |
BRU
2 - 0
CRI
27%
24%
49%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
HER
0 - 0
BRU
56%
23%
22%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |