Joinville vs Brasil de Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 2
JEC
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
JEC
2 - 4
CAX
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
JEC
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
CAX
2 - 2
JEC
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
JEC
2 - 0
SAN
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
BRA
0 - 1
CHA
19%
26%
56%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
CAX
2 - 1
BRA
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
CHA
3 - 1
BRA
69%
20%
11%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 0
CAX
19%
27%
54%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | +2 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 1
JEC
32%
28%
40%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |