Joinville vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
66.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
BRU
1 - 1
JEC
74%
18%
8%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
HER
1 - 1
JEC
66%
21%
13%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
JEC
2 - 1
INT
71%
18%
10%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
FFL
1 - 1
JEC
72%
19%
10%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
JEC
2 - 3
MAR
53%
25%
23%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
AVA
2 - 2
MAR
83%
13%
4%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
INT
2 - 3
AVA
5%
16%
79%
|
75 | 35 | 40 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
AVA
3 - 2
CHA
50%
26%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
HER
2 - 1
AVA
21%
25%
54%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
AVA
3 - 2
NES
79%
14%
7%
|
75 | 37 | 38 | 0 |