Joinville vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
41.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
HER
1 - 1
JEC
36%
26%
39%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
JEC
2 - 2
CAM
78%
14%
8%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
MET
1 - 1
JEC
29%
24%
47%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
JEC
1 - 1
FFL
35%
24%
41%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CHA
3 - 2
JEC
52%
23%
25%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
AVA
2 - 0
GUA
78%
15%
8%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
JUV
2 - 3
AVA
12%
19%
70%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
AVA
2 - 2
CRI
60%
21%
18%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
AVA
2 - 0
CHA
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
HER
4 - 3
AVA
22%
23%
55%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |