Série D Brazil 1/16
Global 2-3
Joinville vs América FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
9.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
AFC
2 - 1
JEC
24%
27%
49%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
OPE
0 - 1
JEC
40%
27%
32%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
JEC
0 - 0
OPE
61%
23%
17%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
JEC
2 - 0
IRA
63%
22%
16%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
IRA
0 - 2
JEC
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
América FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
AFC
2 - 1
JEC
24%
27%
49%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
VIL
3 - 0
AFC
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -3 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
AFC
1 - 0
VIL
38%
27%
35%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2010 |
MIX
4 - 2
AFC
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
AFC
3 - 1
MIX
32%
25%
43%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |