Joinville vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
34.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
FFL
2 - 1
JEC
57%
22%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 0
JEC
22%
25%
53%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
JEC
2 - 1
FFL
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
MET
0 - 0
JEC
26%
25%
49%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
JEC
1 - 0
CRI
47%
24%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
POR
2 - 1
POT
84%
12%
4%
|
76 | 45 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
POT
1 - 0
POR
8%
20%
72%
|
76 | 43 | 33 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
POR
4 - 3
RIO
69%
19%
11%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
OES
1 - 0
POR
19%
24%
57%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
POR
3 - 1
BRA
65%
21%
15%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |