Johvi FC Lokomotiv vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
24.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Johvi FC Lokomotiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
TAM
1 - 1
JOH
31%
25%
44%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
JOH
3 - 1
LEV
35%
25%
40%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
JOH
2 - 0
FLO
61%
22%
18%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
JOH
0 - 3
TAR
57%
22%
22%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
FCP
2 - 1
JOH
25%
24%
50%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
NOM
0 - 3
PAR
50%
23%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 0
TDU
85%
10%
5%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
TJK
0 - 3
PAR
28%
22%
50%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
PAR
4 - 1
FCE
71%
17%
12%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
SKA
1 - 1
PAR
53%
22%
25%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |