Apertura Finals Eliminatorias Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Jocoro vs L.A. Firpo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
35.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jocoro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 2
JOC
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
JOC
2 - 3
FUE
82%
12%
5%
|
63 | 19 | 44 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
JOC
2 - 1
MET
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
AGU
2 - 0
JOC
57%
25%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
ONC
0 - 0
JOC
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
L.A. Firpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
FIR
2 - 0
AGU
37%
29%
35%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
FIR
0 - 0
ALI
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
MUN
3 - 2
FIR
27%
26%
47%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
FIR
3 - 1
ONC
47%
28%
25%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2023 |
FIR
0 - 2
FAS
34%
29%
37%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |