Joanenc vs Castellar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
60.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joanenc
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ASE
1 - 0
JOA
42%
23%
36%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
JOA
3 - 1
ALG
67%
19%
15%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
TPE
2 - 2
JOA
57%
21%
22%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
JOA
0 - 0
SAN
29%
23%
48%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
JOA
1 - 2
PIR
32%
23%
45%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Castellar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 1
CUE
22%
21%
57%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CUE
5 - 0
ASE
70%
18%
13%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CUE
2 - 0
ALG
82%
12%
6%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CUE
2 - 2
TPE
65%
19%
16%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CUE
2 - 1
SAN
51%
23%
27%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |