Joane vs Padroense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
31.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
VIZ
3 - 2
JOA
73%
18%
10%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
JOA
1 - 1
VIL
34%
25%
41%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
FAM
1 - 0
JOA
78%
15%
8%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
JOA
1 - 2
CHA
20%
25%
55%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
GON
1 - 1
JOA
66%
22%
13%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Padroense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
PAD
0 - 1
GON
21%
25%
55%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
BOA
4 - 0
PAD
77%
15%
8%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
PAD
0 - 2
AMA
31%
26%
43%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
VAR
1 - 1
PAD
70%
19%
11%
|
32 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
TIR
2 - 0
PAD
75%
16%
9%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | 0 |