Joane vs Famalicão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
59.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CHA
4 - 1
JOA
70%
20%
11%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
JOA
2 - 1
MEL
66%
19%
15%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
6 - 1
JOA
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
JOA
22%
23%
55%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
JOA
1 - 0
ESP
38%
26%
37%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Famalicão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FAM
2 - 2
GON
50%
27%
23%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
FAM
3 - 2
MAC
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
VIZ
1 - 1
FAM
37%
29%
34%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
FAM
1 - 1
TIR
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
ADO
0 - 1
FAM
16%
23%
62%
|
57 | 27 | 30 | 0 |