Joane vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
39.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
VAR
0 - 1
JOA
72%
19%
10%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
JOA
1 - 1
TIR
20%
24%
56%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
INF
4 - 0
JOA
31%
24%
45%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
JOA
2 - 0
FAF
21%
25%
54%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
RIB
2 - 1
JOA
72%
18%
11%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
AMA
1 - 0
GON
35%
27%
38%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
BOA
1 - 1
AMA
70%
19%
12%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
CHA
3 - 1
AMA
63%
23%
14%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
AMA
0 - 2
VAR
29%
28%
44%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
TIR
1 - 1
AMA
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |