JFK Olimps vs FC Daugava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
64%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JFK Olimps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
LIE
7 - 1
JFK
87%
10%
3%
|
44 | 76 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
FKJ
2 - 1
JFK
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
JFK
1 - 2
FCJ
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
JFK
2 - 1
FKD
18%
24%
59%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
GUL
3 - 0
JFK
76%
15%
10%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
FC Daugava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
GUL
1 - 2
FCD
41%
25%
34%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
VEN
2 - 1
FCD
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
FCD
0 - 0
FCS
24%
25%
52%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
FKD
0 - 3
FCD
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
LIE
1 - 3
FCD
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |