Trans Narva U19 vs Kohtla-Järve FC Storm Sub 1 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.7%
Win probability
3.66
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.4%
6-0
5.2%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.7%
5-0
8.5%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.5%
4-0
11.7%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.7%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
6%
2.1%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+174%
+274%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
4º
1º
11
3º
7º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
24 | 30 |
1º
|
85% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 27 |
2º
|
85% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 19 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 17 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 16 |
5º
|
77% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
94.5% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
94.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 3 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 1 |
11º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trans Narva U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2023 |
IDV
1 - 5
JKN
56%
21%
23%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
JKN
7 - 0
HET
91%
6%
2%
|
42 | 13 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
LEG
0 - 3
JKN
33%
20%
47%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
JKN
3 - 0
FHT
90%
7%
3%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
PJK
0 - 7
JKN
53%
23%
25%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Kohtla-Järve FC Storm Sub 1
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2023 |
KJS
5 - 0
FLO
8%
12%
80%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
LJK
1 - 1
KJS
91%
7%
2%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
KJS
3 - 1
NKA
5%
10%
85%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | +3 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
IDV
8 - 0
KJS
94%
5%
1%
|
9 | 45 | 36 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
KJS
4 - 1
HET
14%
16%
69%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | +1 |